Books like Fooled by Randomness

01

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Daniel Kahneman · Psychology

Thinking, Fast and Slow is Daniel Kahneman's account of the two cognitive systems that govern human thought.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.

02

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Science

The Black Swan is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument that the most consequential events in history — financial crashes, technological breakthroughs, wars, pandemics — are not predictable outliers but structurally unpredictable ones.

Shares probability and cognitive bias with Fooled by Randomness.

03

Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Philosophy

Antifragile is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument that the opposite of fragile is not robust or resilient — it is antifragile.

Both dig into decision-making.

04

Predictably Irrational

Dan Ariely · Psychology

Predictably Irrational is Dan Ariely's examination of how humans make decisions that are consistently, systematically irrational — not random or arbitrary, but irrational in ways that follow patterns.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.

05

Outliers: The Story of Success

Malcolm Gladwell · Psychology

Outliers is Malcolm Gladwell's argument that exceptional success is less a product of individual genius or drive than it is of hidden advantages, timing, and accumulated opportunity.

A kindred psychology read.

06

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Annie Duke · Psychology

Thinking in Bets is Annie Duke's argument that most decisions in life share a fundamental feature with poker hands: you're choosing under uncertainty, with incomplete information, and luck will affect the outcome regardless of how well you reasoned.

Shares probability and cognitive bias with Fooled by Randomness.

07

Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky · Psychology

Judgment Under Uncertainty is the academic anthology that launched a research program.

Shares probability and cognitive bias with Fooled by Randomness.

08

Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

Peter L. Bernstein · History

Against the Gods is Peter Bernstein's intellectual history of how humanity learned to measure, quantify, and manage risk — a story he traces from ancient gambling in the Mediterranean through the development of modern probability theory, statistics, and financial derivatives.

Shares probability and risk with Fooled by Randomness.

09

Irrationality

Stuart Sutherland · Psychology

Irrationality is Stuart Sutherland's rigorous and often mordant survey of the ways human beings consistently fail to reason well.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.

10

Mind Over Money

Claudia Hammond · Psychology

Mind Over Money is Claudia Hammond's survey of the research on how people actually think about, feel about, and make decisions with money — which turns out to be considerably less rational than economic theory assumes.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.

11

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics

Richard H. Thaler · Psychology

Richard Thaler is one of the founders of behavioral economics, the field that took the anomalies in standard economic theory seriously rather than dismissing them as noise.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.

12

Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment

Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein · Psychology

Bias gets most of the attention in discussions of judgment error.

Shares cognitive bias and decision-making with Fooled by Randomness.