History · Similar reads
Books like The Science of Conjecture
The best books like The Science of Conjecture are Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, and The Signal and the Noise. The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin is about probability, reasoning under uncertainty, history of ideas. If that's what drew you in, here are 12 books that share its DNA — each summarized on Superbook, and ready to chat with in the app.
- Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
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Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
Peter L. Bernstein · History
Against the Gods is Peter Bernstein's intellectual history of how humanity learned to measure, quantify, and manage risk — a story he traces from ancient gambling in the Mediterranean through the development of modern probability theory, statistics, and financial derivatives.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Annie Duke · Psychology
Thinking in Bets is Annie Duke's argument that most decisions in life share a fundamental feature with poker hands: you're choosing under uncertainty, with incomplete information, and luck will affect the outcome regardless of how well you reasoned.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - The Signal and the Noise
03
Nate Silver · Science
Nate Silver made his reputation predicting baseball statistics and then political elections.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - Fooled by Randomness
04
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Psychology
Fooled by Randomness is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument that humans are wired to misread luck as skill, noise as signal, and random outcomes as the product of ability or effort.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
Jordan Ellenberg · Science
Jordan Ellenberg is a research mathematician who writes as if mathematics is something you would want to think about over dinner.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Science
The Black Swan is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument that the most consequential events in history — financial crashes, technological breakthroughs, wars, pandemics — are not predictable outliers but structurally unpredictable ones.
Shares probability and epistemology with The Science of Conjecture.
Read the summary → - A Man for All Markets
07
Edward O. Thorp · Memoir
A Man for All Markets is Edward Thorp's memoir of a life spent finding mathematical edges — first in casinos and later in financial markets.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
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Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky · Psychology
Judgment Under Uncertainty is the academic anthology that launched a research program.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - Rationality: From AI to Zombies
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Rationality: From AI to Zombies
Eliezer Yudkowsky · Philosophy
Rationality: From AI to Zombies is a collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's essays from LessWrong, organized into six books covering the theory and practice of thinking clearly.
Both dig into epistemology.
Read the summary → - The Bed of Procrustes
10
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Philosophy
The Bed of Procrustes is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's collection of philosophical aphorisms, the third volume in his Incerto series following Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan.
Both dig into epistemology.
Read the summary → - The Misbehavior of Markets
11
Benoit Mandelbrot · Economics
Benoit Mandelbrot, the mathematician who discovered fractal geometry, spent decades arguing that standard financial theory systematically underestimates the riskiness of markets.
Both dig into probability.
Read the summary → - The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
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The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
Thomas S. Kuhn · Science
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, first published in 1962, changed how historians, philosophers, and scientists think about how science advances.
Both dig into epistemology.
Read the summary →
Books like The Science of Conjecture: quick answers
What are the best books like The Science of Conjecture?
The best books like The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin are Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking by Jordan Ellenberg, plus 7 more below. Each was chosen for themes it shares with The Science of Conjecture, such as probability, reasoning under uncertainty, history of ideas.
What should I read after The Science of Conjecture?
A natural next read after The Science of Conjecture is Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein. Both dig into probability. Other strong choices are Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
What books are similar to The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin?
The Science of Conjecture centers on probability, reasoning under uncertainty, history of ideas. Books with a similar feel include Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke, The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver, Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking by Jordan Ellenberg, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb — all free to read and chat with on Superbook.
