History · Similar reads

Books like The Science of Conjecture

The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin is about probability, reasoning under uncertainty, history of ideas. If that's what drew you in, here are 6 books that share its DNA — each summarized on Superbook, and ready to chat with in the app.

  1. Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
    Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

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    Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

    Peter L. Bernstein · History

    Against the Gods is Peter Bernstein's intellectual history of how humanity learned to measure, quantify, and manage risk — a story he traces from ancient gambling in the Mediterranean through the development of modern probability theory, statistics, and financial derivatives.

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  2. Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
    Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

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    Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

    Annie Duke · Psychology

    Thinking in Bets is Annie Duke's argument that most decisions in life share a fundamental feature with poker hands: you're choosing under uncertainty, with incomplete information, and luck will affect the outcome regardless of how well you reasoned.

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  3. The Signal and the Noise
    The Signal and the Noise

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    The Signal and the Noise

    Nate Silver · Science

    Nate Silver made his reputation predicting baseball statistics and then political elections.

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  4. Fooled by Randomness
    Fooled by Randomness

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    Fooled by Randomness

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb · Psychology

    Fooled by Randomness is Nassim Nicholas Taleb's argument that humans are wired to misread luck as skill, noise as signal, and random outcomes as the product of ability or effort.

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  5. How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
    How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

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    How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

    Jordan Ellenberg · Science

    Jordan Ellenberg is a research mathematician who writes as if mathematics is something you would want to think about over dinner.

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  6. 1491: New Revelations of the Americas Before Columbus
    1491: New Revelations of the Americas Before Columbus

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    1491: New Revelations of the Americas Before Columbus

    Charles C. Mann · History

    Charles Mann's 1491 sets out to correct a widespread misconception: that the Americas before Columbus were a mostly empty wilderness populated by small, isolated bands of hunter-gatherers living in gentle harmony with an untouched nature.

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